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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 20 Dec 2024

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

24%

Jong Utrecht

4.25

28%

Draw

3.63

49%

Helmond Sport

2.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Jong Utrecht xG

Total xG

2.84

1.70

Helmond Sport xG

24%
28%
49%
Jong UtrechtDrawHelmond Sport

4.25

24%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.05

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

18%

Jong Utrecht

5.50

32%

Helmond Sport

3.11

Win to Nil

4%

Jong Utrecht

23.34

16%

Helmond Sport

6.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 10.0 8.5 4.8 2.1 0.7
1 6.6 11.3 9.6 5.5 2.3 0.8
2 3.8 6.4 5.5 3.1 1.3 0.5
3 1.4 2.4 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.135
λ Away (xG) 1.704
Total xG 2.839
League avg home goals 1.510
League avg away goals 1.372
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.674
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.393
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.892
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.115
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57