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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 20 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

De Herdgang

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong PSV U21 Win

42%

Jong PSV U21

2.40

24%

Draw

4.25

35%

Vitesse

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Jong PSV U21 xG

Total xG

3.16

1.50

Vitesse xG

42%
24%
35%
Jong PSV U21DrawVitesse

2.40

42%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

22%

Jong PSV U21

4.48

19%

Vitesse

5.24

Win to Nil

9%

Jong PSV U21

10.76

7%

Vitesse

15.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 6.4 4.8 2.4 0.9 0.3
1 7.1 10.6 7.9 4.0 1.5 0.4
2 5.8 8.8 6.6 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.2 4.8 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.656
λ Away (xG) 1.499
Total xG 3.155
League avg home goals 1.560
League avg away goals 1.448
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.135
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.023
Vitesse attack strength 1.012
Vitesse defence strength 0.936
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70