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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

De Herdgang

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong PSV U21 Win

59%

Jong PSV U21

1.69

21%

Draw

4.81

20%

Jong Ajax

4.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

2 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.08

Jong PSV U21 xG

Total xG

3.21

1.13

Jong Ajax xG

59%
21%
20%
Jong PSV U21DrawJong Ajax

1.69

59%

Home win

4.81

21%

Draw

4.99

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

32%

Jong PSV U21

3.10

12%

Jong Ajax

8.02

Win to Nil

19%

Jong PSV U21

5.25

2%

Jong Ajax

40.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 4.5 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.4 9.5 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.9 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.0 6.8 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.1 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.082
λ Away (xG) 1.133
Total xG 3.215
League avg home goals 1.599
League avg away goals 1.483
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 0.990
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 0.948
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.805
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.314
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74