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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Jong PSV U21 and FC OSS share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jong PSV U21 and FC OSS finished level at 2-2 at PSV Campus De Herdgang, Regular Season - 31, in the Eerste Divisie. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Jong PSV U21 1.56 xG and FC OSS 1.26 xG, a combined 2.82. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jong PSV U21 attack 0.96 / defence 1.60 against FC OSS attack 0.61 / defence 0.97, drawn from 66/67 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Jong PSV U21 44% | Draw 26% | FC OSS 30%, with Jong PSV U21 to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. Over 3.5 was 31% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 61% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Jong PSV U21 76%, FC OSS 46%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Jong PSV U21's trading profile (66 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 68% of their matches — today it did.

FC OSS's trading profile (66 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 42% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Jong PSV U21 0.92 PPG, FC OSS 0.94 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. FC OSS (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.56 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights