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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 12 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

39%

Jong AZ

2.57

26%

Draw

3.88

35%

Jong Utrecht

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

2.88

1.40

Jong Utrecht xG

39%
26%
35%
Jong AZDrawJong Utrecht

2.57

39%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

25%

Jong AZ

4.05

23%

Jong Utrecht

4.39

Win to Nil

10%

Jong AZ

10.40

8%

Jong Utrecht

12.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 7.9 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.3
1 8.3 11.6 8.1 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 8.6 6.0 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.0 4.2 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.479
λ Away (xG) 1.398
Total xG 2.877
League avg home goals 1.713
League avg away goals 1.444
Jong AZ attack strength 0.784
Jong AZ defence strength 1.094
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.885
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.101
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57