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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

64%

Jong AZ

1.57

20%

Draw

5.10

17%

Jong Utrecht

6.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.2%

Home win

1 – 1

8.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.38

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.54

1.16

Jong Utrecht xG

64%
20%
17%
Jong AZDrawJong Utrecht

1.57

64%

Home win

5.10

20%

Draw

6.02

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.70

Clean Sheet

31%

Jong AZ

3.20

9%

Jong Utrecht

10.79

Win to Nil

20%

Jong AZ

5.02

2%

Jong Utrecht

64.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 6.9 8.0 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 8.2 9.5 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.5 7.6 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.9 4.5 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.379
λ Away (xG) 1.163
Total xG 3.542
League avg home goals 1.627
League avg away goals 1.298
Jong AZ attack strength 1.115
Jong AZ defence strength 1.192
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.752
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.312
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65