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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Mon 13 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

53%

Jong AZ

1.90

22%

Draw

4.65

26%

Jong Ajax

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

2 – 2

6.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.27

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.84

1.57

Jong Ajax xG

53%
22%
26%
Jong AZDrawJong Ajax

1.90

53%

Home win

4.65

22%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.39

28%

BTTS No

3.54

Clean Sheet

21%

Jong AZ

4.83

10%

Jong Ajax

9.64

Win to Nil

11%

Jong AZ

9.17

3%

Jong Ajax

37.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 3.4 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2
1 4.9 7.7 6.0 3.2 1.2 0.4
2 5.5 8.7 6.8 3.6 1.4 0.4
3 4.2 6.6 5.2 2.7 1.1 0.3
4 2.4 3.7 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.266
λ Away (xG) 1.574
Total xG 3.840
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.404
Jong AZ attack strength 1.190
Jong AZ defence strength 1.284
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.874
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.231
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58