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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

48%

Jong AZ

2.10

24%

Draw

4.22

29%

Helmond Sport

3.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.00

1.28

Helmond Sport xG

48%
24%
29%
Jong AZDrawHelmond Sport

2.10

48%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

3.48

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

28%

Jong AZ

3.61

18%

Helmond Sport

5.56

Win to Nil

13%

Jong AZ

7.59

5%

Helmond Sport

19.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.4 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 8.5 11.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.4 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.2 5.4 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.716
λ Away (xG) 1.284
Total xG 3.000
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.508
Jong AZ attack strength 0.917
Jong AZ defence strength 1.375
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.619
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.226
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71