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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Mon 2 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

33%

Jong Ajax

3.05

28%

Draw

3.59

39%

Willem II

2.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.89

1.52

Willem II xG

33%
28%
39%
Jong AjaxDrawWillem II

3.05

33%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.54

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

22%

Jong Ajax

4.57

25%

Willem II

3.94

Win to Nil

7%

Jong Ajax

13.93

10%

Willem II

10.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 8.4 6.4 3.2 1.2 0.4
1 7.6 11.6 8.8 4.4 1.7 0.5
2 5.2 7.9 6.0 3.1 1.2 0.4
3 2.4 3.6 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.372
λ Away (xG) 1.519
Total xG 2.891
League avg home goals 1.762
League avg away goals 1.553
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.804
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.040
Willem II attack strength 0.940
Willem II defence strength 0.968
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 23