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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Mon 1 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitesse Win

27%

Jong Ajax

3.69

23%

Draw

4.42

50%

Vitesse

1.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

0 – 1

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

3.31

1.93

Vitesse xG

27%
23%
50%
Jong AjaxDrawVitesse

3.69

27%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

1.99

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

15%

Jong Ajax

6.90

25%

Vitesse

3.96

Win to Nil

4%

Jong Ajax

25.43

13%

Vitesse

7.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 7.1 6.8 4.4 2.1 0.8
1 5.0 9.7 9.4 6.0 2.9 1.1
2 3.5 6.7 6.5 4.2 2.0 0.8
3 1.6 3.1 3.0 1.9 0.9 0.4
4 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.375
λ Away (xG) 1.931
Total xG 3.306
League avg home goals 1.693
League avg away goals 1.451
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.774
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.128
Vitesse attack strength 1.180
Vitesse defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 53