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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Mon 14 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportpark De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

47%

Jong Ajax

2.13

25%

Draw

4.07

29%

Vitesse

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.92

1.25

Vitesse xG

47%
25%
29%
Jong AjaxDrawVitesse

2.13

47%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

29%

Jong Ajax

3.50

19%

Vitesse

5.30

Win to Nil

13%

Jong Ajax

7.48

5%

Vitesse

18.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 6.8 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.0 11.3 7.1 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.4 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.2 5.2 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.667
λ Away (xG) 1.254
Total xG 2.921
League avg home goals 1.674
League avg away goals 1.247
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.807
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.975
Vitesse attack strength 1.031
Vitesse defence strength 1.234
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 33