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Jong Ajax vs Telstar – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 22 Nov 2024

19:00

Venue

Sportpark De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Telstar Win

24%

Jong Ajax

4.10

35%

Draw

2.86

41%

Telstar

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

18.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

18.4%

Away win

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.69

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

1.68

0.98

Telstar xG

24%
35%
41%
Jong AjaxDrawTelstar

4.10

24%

Home win

2.86

35%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

50%

Over 1.5

2.00

50%

Under 1.5

2.00

24%

Over 2.5

4.17

76%

Under 2.5

1.32

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

32%

BTTS Yes

3.13

68%

BTTS No

1.47

Clean Sheet

37%

Jong Ajax

2.68

50%

Telstar

2.00

Win to Nil

9%

Jong Ajax

10.95

20%

Telstar

4.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.7 18.4 9.0 3.0 0.7 0.1
1 13.0 12.8 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 4.5 4.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.694
λ Away (xG) 0.984
Total xG 1.678
League avg home goals 1.509
League avg away goals 1.389
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.526
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.826
Telstar attack strength 0.857
Telstar defence strength 0.873
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 53