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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

62%

Jong Ajax

1.62

22%

Draw

4.59

17%

MVV

6.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.76

0.86

MVV xG

62%
22%
17%
Jong AjaxDrawMVV

1.62

62%

Home win

4.59

22%

Draw

6.05

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

42%

Jong Ajax

2.37

15%

MVV

6.67

Win to Nil

26%

Jong Ajax

3.84

2%

MVV

40.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 5.5 2.4 0.7 0.1
1 12.0 10.4 4.5 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 7.2 6.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.4 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.897
λ Away (xG) 0.863
Total xG 2.760
League avg home goals 1.681
League avg away goals 1.269
Jong Ajax attack strength 1.095
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.896
MVV attack strength 0.759
MVV defence strength 1.031
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41