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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

50%

Jong Ajax

2.01

27%

Draw

3.70

23%

Helmond Sport

4.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.60

1.01

Helmond Sport xG

50%
27%
23%
Jong AjaxDrawHelmond Sport

2.01

50%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

4.29

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

36%

Jong Ajax

2.76

20%

Helmond Sport

4.88

Win to Nil

18%

Jong Ajax

5.55

5%

Helmond Sport

20.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 7.5 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.8 11.9 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.5 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.9 5.0 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.586
λ Away (xG) 1.015
Total xG 2.601
League avg home goals 1.660
League avg away goals 1.455
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.864
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.050
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.664
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.106
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66