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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Mon 28 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportpark De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

49%

Jong Ajax

2.03

25%

Draw

3.96

26%

Helmond Sport

3.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.94

1.20

Helmond Sport xG

49%
25%
26%
Jong AjaxDrawHelmond Sport

2.03

49%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

3.91

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

30%

Jong Ajax

3.33

18%

Helmond Sport

5.69

Win to Nil

15%

Jong Ajax

6.77

4%

Helmond Sport

22.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.3 3.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 9.2 11.0 6.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.6 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.6 5.6 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.739
λ Away (xG) 1.202
Total xG 2.941
League avg home goals 1.679
League avg away goals 1.255
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.782
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.964
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.993
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.324
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73