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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Mon 31 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportpark De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

37%

Jong Ajax

2.67

26%

Draw

3.92

37%

FC Volendam

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.76

1.38

FC Volendam xG

37%
26%
37%
Jong AjaxDrawFC Volendam

2.67

37%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

25%

Jong Ajax

3.96

25%

FC Volendam

3.99

Win to Nil

9%

Jong Ajax

10.59

9%

FC Volendam

10.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 8.7 6.0 2.8 0.9 0.3
1 8.8 12.1 8.3 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 8.3 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.8 3.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.383
λ Away (xG) 1.376
Total xG 2.759
League avg home goals 1.636
League avg away goals 1.294
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.891
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.903
FC Volendam attack strength 1.177
FC Volendam defence strength 0.948
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31