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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Mon 10 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportpark De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

53%

Jong Ajax

1.90

28%

Draw

3.63

20%

Excelsior

5.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.26

0.80

Excelsior xG

53%
28%
20%
Jong AjaxDrawExcelsior

1.90

53%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

5.03

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

45%

Jong Ajax

2.22

23%

Excelsior

4.33

Win to Nil

24%

Jong Ajax

4.22

5%

Excelsior

21.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 8.3 3.3 0.9 0.2
1 15.3 12.2 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.2 8.9 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 5.5 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.466
λ Away (xG) 0.796
Total xG 2.262
League avg home goals 1.662
League avg away goals 1.274
Jong Ajax attack strength 1.030
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.709
Excelsior attack strength 0.881
Excelsior defence strength 0.857
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 24