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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Fri 24 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

56%

Jong Ajax

1.78

20%

Draw

4.89

23%

Emmen

4.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

2 – 0

7.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.18

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

3.53

1.35

Emmen xG

56%
20%
23%
Jong AjaxDrawEmmen

1.78

56%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

4.30

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.91

Clean Sheet

26%

Jong Ajax

3.85

11%

Emmen

8.81

Win to Nil

15%

Jong Ajax

6.85

3%

Emmen

37.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 4.0 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 6.4 8.6 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 9.4 6.3 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 5.1 6.8 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 2.8 3.7 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.176
λ Away (xG) 1.349
Total xG 3.525
League avg home goals 1.803
League avg away goals 1.362
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.971
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.186
Emmen attack strength 0.835
Emmen defence strength 1.243
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50