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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Tue 11 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportpark De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

48%

Jong Ajax

2.09

25%

Draw

3.96

27%

Emmen

3.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.74

1.14

Emmen xG

48%
25%
27%
Jong AjaxDrawEmmen

2.09

48%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

3.73

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

32%

Jong Ajax

3.13

20%

Emmen

4.97

Win to Nil

15%

Jong Ajax

6.53

5%

Emmen

18.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 7.3 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 10.3 11.8 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.4 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.4 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.604
λ Away (xG) 1.140
Total xG 2.744
League avg home goals 1.663
League avg away goals 1.280
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.981
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.846
Emmen attack strength 1.053
Emmen defence strength 0.983
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67