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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 13 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

52%

Jong Ajax

1.91

23%

Draw

4.42

25%

Den Bosch

3.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

1 – 0

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

3.38

1.36

Den Bosch xG

52%
23%
25%
Jong AjaxDrawDen Bosch

1.91

52%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

3.99

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.86

Clean Sheet

26%

Jong Ajax

3.90

13%

Den Bosch

7.56

Win to Nil

13%

Jong Ajax

7.45

3%

Den Bosch

30.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 4.6 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.9 9.3 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
2 6.9 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.7 6.4 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.4 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.023
λ Away (xG) 1.360
Total xG 3.383
League avg home goals 1.620
League avg away goals 1.476
Jong Ajax attack strength 1.077
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.020
Den Bosch attack strength 0.904
Den Bosch defence strength 1.160
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68