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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Mon 9 Dec 2024

19:00

Venue

Sportpark De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

34%

Jong Ajax

2.93

33%

Draw

3.02

33%

De Graafschap

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.14

1.06

De Graafschap xG

34%
33%
33%
Jong AjaxDrawDe Graafschap

2.93

34%

Home win

3.02

33%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

35%

Jong Ajax

2.88

34%

De Graafschap

2.96

Win to Nil

12%

Jong Ajax

8.45

11%

De Graafschap

9.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 12.4 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.7 13.5 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 6.9 7.3 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.5 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.085
λ Away (xG) 1.059
Total xG 2.144
League avg home goals 1.542
League avg away goals 1.392
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.686
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.756
De Graafschap attack strength 1.007
De Graafschap defence strength 1.026
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55