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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

43%

Helmond Sport

2.35

25%

Draw

3.93

32%

VVV Venlo

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

2.74

1.25

VVV Venlo xG

43%
25%
32%
Helmond SportDrawVVV Venlo

2.35

43%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

29%

Helmond Sport

3.50

23%

VVV Venlo

4.41

Win to Nil

12%

Helmond Sport

8.20

7%

VVV Venlo

13.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.1 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.6 12.0 7.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.1 8.9 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.5 4.4 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.485
λ Away (xG) 1.252
Total xG 2.737
League avg home goals 1.599
League avg away goals 1.483
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.925
Helmond Sport defence strength 0.990
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.852
VVV Venlo defence strength 1.004
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74