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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

41%

Helmond Sport

2.44

22%

Draw

4.45

37%

Vitesse

2.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

3.49

1.69

Vitesse xG

41%
22%
37%
Helmond SportDrawVitesse

2.44

41%

Home win

4.45

22%

Draw

2.73

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.13

Clean Sheet

18%

Helmond Sport

5.42

17%

Vitesse

6.03

Win to Nil

8%

Helmond Sport

13.24

6%

Vitesse

16.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 5.2 4.4 2.5 1.0 0.4
1 5.5 9.3 7.9 4.4 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 8.3 7.1 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 3.0 5.0 4.2 2.4 1.0 0.3
4 1.3 2.2 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.796
λ Away (xG) 1.690
Total xG 3.486
League avg home goals 1.735
League avg away goals 1.532
Helmond Sport attack strength 1.005
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.187
Vitesse attack strength 0.929
Vitesse defence strength 1.030
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 58