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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stadion De Braak

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

54%

Helmond Sport

1.85

22%

Draw

4.59

24%

Vitesse

4.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

2 – 0

7.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.06

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

3.39

1.33

Vitesse xG

54%
22%
24%
Helmond SportDrawVitesse

1.85

54%

Home win

4.59

22%

Draw

4.12

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.82

Clean Sheet

26%

Helmond Sport

3.80

13%

Vitesse

7.84

Win to Nil

14%

Helmond Sport

7.04

3%

Vitesse

32.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 4.5 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 6.9 9.2 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
2 7.1 9.5 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.3
3 4.9 6.5 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 2.5 3.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.059
λ Away (xG) 1.334
Total xG 3.393
League avg home goals 1.650
League avg away goals 1.246
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.884
Helmond Sport defence strength 0.957
Vitesse attack strength 1.118
Vitesse defence strength 1.413
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 26