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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:30

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

55%

Helmond Sport

1.82

25%

Draw

4.03

20%

Telstar

4.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

2.67

0.95

Telstar xG

55%
25%
20%
Helmond SportDrawTelstar

1.82

55%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

4.93

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

39%

Helmond Sport

2.59

18%

Telstar

5.57

Win to Nil

21%

Helmond Sport

4.72

4%

Telstar

27.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 6.6 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 11.9 11.3 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.7 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 5.9 5.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 2.5 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.718
λ Away (xG) 0.952
Total xG 2.670
League avg home goals 1.642
League avg away goals 1.279
Helmond Sport attack strength 1.019
Helmond Sport defence strength 0.872
Telstar attack strength 0.854
Telstar defence strength 1.026
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70