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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

61%

Helmond Sport

1.65

22%

Draw

4.64

18%

MVV

5.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

2.97

0.98

MVV xG

61%
22%
18%
Helmond SportDrawMVV

1.65

61%

Home win

4.64

22%

Draw

5.66

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

38%

Helmond Sport

2.66

14%

MVV

7.34

Win to Nil

23%

Helmond Sport

4.38

2%

MVV

41.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 10.2 10.0 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 10.0 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.8 6.6 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.4 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.994
λ Away (xG) 0.978
Total xG 2.972
League avg home goals 1.705
League avg away goals 1.434
Helmond Sport attack strength 1.019
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.044
MVV attack strength 0.653
MVV defence strength 1.148
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56