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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

54%

Helmond Sport

1.87

27%

Draw

3.70

19%

MVV

5.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

2.41

0.84

MVV xG

54%
27%
19%
Helmond SportDrawMVV

1.87

54%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

5.16

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

43%

Helmond Sport

2.32

21%

MVV

4.79

Win to Nil

23%

Helmond Sport

4.34

4%

MVV

24.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 7.6 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 14.1 11.9 5.0 1.4 0.3
2 11.0 9.3 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 5.8 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.566
λ Away (xG) 0.843
Total xG 2.409
League avg home goals 1.627
League avg away goals 1.298
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.917
Helmond Sport defence strength 0.906
MVV attack strength 0.717
MVV defence strength 1.050
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66