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Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 8 Nov 2025

15:30

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

46%

Helmond Sport

2.18

20%

Draw

4.93

34%

Jong PSV U21

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

1 – 1

7.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

4.07

1.88

Jong PSV U21 xG

46%
20%
34%
Helmond SportDrawJong PSV U21

2.18

46%

Home win

4.93

20%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

77%

Over 2.5

1.30

23%

Under 2.5

4.35

58%

Over 3.5

1.72

42%

Under 3.5

2.38

39%

Over 4.5

2.56

61%

Under 4.5

1.64

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

75%

BTTS Yes

1.33

25%

BTTS No

4.04

Clean Sheet

15%

Helmond Sport

6.55

11%

Jong PSV U21

8.95

Win to Nil

7%

Helmond Sport

14.29

4%

Jong PSV U21

26.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7 3.2 3.0 1.9 0.9 0.3
1 3.7 7.0 6.6 4.1 1.9 0.7
2 4.1 7.7 7.2 4.5 2.1 0.8
3 3.0 5.6 5.3 3.3 1.6 0.6
4 1.6 3.1 2.9 1.8 0.9 0.3
5 0.7 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.192
λ Away (xG) 1.879
Total xG 4.071
League avg home goals 1.719
League avg away goals 1.436
Helmond Sport attack strength 1.052
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.029
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.272
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.212
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52