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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

41%

Helmond Sport

2.44

27%

Draw

3.77

32%

Jong AZ

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

2.56

1.19

Jong AZ xG

41%
27%
32%
Helmond SportDrawJong AZ

2.44

41%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

30%

Helmond Sport

3.28

25%

Jong AZ

3.94

Win to Nil

12%

Helmond Sport

8.01

8%

Jong AZ

12.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.2 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.2
1 10.6 12.6 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 8.6 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.3 3.9 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.370
λ Away (xG) 1.189
Total xG 2.559
League avg home goals 1.759
League avg away goals 1.403
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.880
Helmond Sport defence strength 0.919
Jong AZ attack strength 0.922
Jong AZ defence strength 0.885
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48