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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

15:45

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

43%

Helmond Sport

2.35

27%

Draw

3.65

30%

Jong AZ

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

2.51

1.12

Jong AZ xG

43%
27%
30%
Helmond SportDrawJong AZ

2.35

43%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

33%

Helmond Sport

3.07

25%

Jong AZ

4.00

Win to Nil

14%

Helmond Sport

7.23

8%

Jong AZ

13.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 9.1 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.3 12.7 7.1 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 7.8 8.8 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 4.1 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.386
λ Away (xG) 1.123
Total xG 2.509
League avg home goals 1.628
League avg away goals 1.301
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.946
Helmond Sport defence strength 0.977
Jong AZ attack strength 0.884
Jong AZ defence strength 0.900
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 60