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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

54%

Helmond Sport

1.86

24%

Draw

4.18

22%

FC Eindhoven

4.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

2.72

1.01

FC Eindhoven xG

54%
24%
22%
Helmond SportDrawFC Eindhoven

1.86

54%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

4.48

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

36%

Helmond Sport

2.75

18%

FC Eindhoven

5.52

Win to Nil

20%

Helmond Sport

5.11

4%

FC Eindhoven

24.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 6.7 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.3 11.4 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.7 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.5 5.5 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.709
λ Away (xG) 1.011
Total xG 2.720
League avg home goals 1.719
League avg away goals 1.331
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.960
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.024
FC Eindhoven attack strength 0.742
FC Eindhoven defence strength 1.036
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45