Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Fri 22 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

44%

Helmond Sport

2.28

24%

Draw

4.22

33%

Emmen

3.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

3.09

1.42

Emmen xG

44%
24%
33%
Helmond SportDrawEmmen

2.28

44%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

3.07

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.63

38%

BTTS No

2.60

Clean Sheet

24%

Helmond Sport

4.12

19%

Emmen

5.33

Win to Nil

11%

Helmond Sport

9.40

6%

Emmen

16.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 6.4 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 7.6 10.8 7.6 3.6 1.3 0.4
2 6.4 9.0 6.4 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.6 5.0 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.5 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.674
λ Away (xG) 1.415
Total xG 3.089
League avg home goals 1.704
League avg away goals 1.275
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.918
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.222
Emmen attack strength 0.908
Emmen defence strength 1.070
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40