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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 6 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

43%

Helmond Sport

2.33

26%

Draw

3.92

32%

Den Bosch

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

3.40

1.56

Den Bosch xG

43%
26%
32%
Helmond SportDrawDen Bosch

2.33

43%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.12

Clean Sheet

21%

Helmond Sport

4.77

16%

Den Bosch

6.26

Win to Nil

9%

Helmond Sport

11.13

5%

Den Bosch

19.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 5.2 4.1 2.1 0.8 0.3
1 6.1 9.6 7.5 3.9 1.5 0.5
2 5.6 8.8 6.9 3.6 1.4 0.4
3 3.4 5.4 4.2 2.2 0.9 0.3
4 1.6 2.5 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.834
λ Away (xG) 1.563
Total xG 3.397
League avg home goals 1.770
League avg away goals 1.534
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.924
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.057
Den Bosch attack strength 0.964
Den Bosch defence strength 1.121
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63