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Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 6 Dec 2024

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

38%

Helmond Sport

2.62

26%

Draw

3.81

36%

Den Bosch

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

2.94

1.44

Den Bosch xG

38%
26%
36%
Helmond SportDrawDen Bosch

2.62

38%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

24%

Helmond Sport

4.23

22%

Den Bosch

4.49

Win to Nil

9%

Helmond Sport

11.08

8%

Den Bosch

12.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 7.6 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.3
1 7.9 11.4 8.2 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.9 8.6 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.0 4.3 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.2
4 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.501
λ Away (xG) 1.442
Total xG 2.943
League avg home goals 1.552
League avg away goals 1.410
Helmond Sport attack strength 1.045
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.036
Den Bosch attack strength 0.987
Den Bosch defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55