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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

53%

Helmond Sport

1.90

25%

Draw

4.01

22%

De Graafschap

4.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

2.68

1.01

De Graafschap xG

53%
25%
22%
Helmond SportDrawDe Graafschap

1.90

53%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

4.48

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

37%

Helmond Sport

2.74

19%

De Graafschap

5.35

Win to Nil

19%

Helmond Sport

5.19

4%

De Graafschap

23.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 6.9 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.5 11.5 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.7 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.4 5.4 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.677
λ Away (xG) 1.007
Total xG 2.684
League avg home goals 1.695
League avg away goals 1.250
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.968
Helmond Sport defence strength 0.917
De Graafschap attack strength 0.879
De Graafschap defence strength 1.022
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75