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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Helmond Sport Win

49%

Helmond Sport

2.03

23%

Draw

4.33

28%

Almere City FC

3.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

3.09

1.29

Almere City FC xG

49%
23%
28%
Helmond SportDrawAlmere City FC

2.03

49%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

3.62

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

27%

Helmond Sport

3.64

17%

Almere City FC

6.03

Win to Nil

14%

Helmond Sport

7.40

5%

Almere City FC

21.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 5.9 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.2 10.6 6.8 2.9 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 4.4 5.7 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.796
λ Away (xG) 1.293
Total xG 3.089
League avg home goals 1.733
League avg away goals 1.392
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.904
Helmond Sport defence strength 0.935
Almere City FC attack strength 0.993
Almere City FC defence strength 1.147
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 8