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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 24 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Kras Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Volendam Win

69%

FC Volendam

1.45

19%

Draw

5.33

12%

MVV

8.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.37

FC Volendam xG

Total xG

3.29

0.93

MVV xG

69%
19%
12%
FC VolendamDrawMVV

1.45

69%

Home win

5.33

19%

Draw

8.07

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

40%

FC Volendam

2.52

9%

MVV

10.69

Win to Nil

27%

FC Volendam

3.66

1%

MVV

86.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.8 8.1 3.8 1.2 0.3
2 10.4 9.6 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 8.2 7.6 3.5 1.1 0.3
4 4.9 4.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
5 2.3 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.369
λ Away (xG) 0.925
Total xG 3.294
League avg home goals 1.575
League avg away goals 1.342
FC Volendam attack strength 1.301
FC Volendam defence strength 0.789
MVV attack strength 0.873
MVV defence strength 1.156
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 60