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FC Volendam vs Helmond Sport – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 28 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Kras Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Volendam Win

64%

FC Volendam

1.56

20%

Draw

4.97

16%

Helmond Sport

6.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.3%

Home win

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.25

FC Volendam xG

Total xG

3.31

1.05

Helmond Sport xG

64%
20%
16%
FC VolendamDrawHelmond Sport

1.56

64%

Home win

4.97

20%

Draw

6.27

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

35%

FC Volendam

2.87

10%

Helmond Sport

9.54

Win to Nil

22%

FC Volendam

4.49

2%

Helmond Sport

59.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.2 8.7 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 9.8 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 7.0 7.4 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.9 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.2
5 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.255
λ Away (xG) 1.054
Total xG 3.309
League avg home goals 1.621
League avg away goals 1.308
FC Volendam attack strength 1.224
FC Volendam defence strength 0.910
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.886
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.136
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 65