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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 30 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Jan Louwers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Eindhoven Win

44%

FC Eindhoven

2.27

24%

Draw

4.10

32%

MVV

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

FC Eindhoven xG

Total xG

3.29

1.50

MVV xG

44%
24%
32%
FC EindhovenDrawMVV

2.27

44%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.89

Clean Sheet

22%

FC Eindhoven

4.46

17%

MVV

6.00

Win to Nil

10%

FC Eindhoven

10.13

5%

MVV

19.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 5.6 4.2 2.1 0.8 0.2
1 6.7 10.0 7.5 3.7 1.4 0.4
2 6.0 9.0 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.6 5.4 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 2.4 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.792
λ Away (xG) 1.495
Total xG 3.287
League avg home goals 1.773
League avg away goals 1.565
FC Eindhoven attack strength 0.925
FC Eindhoven defence strength 1.133
MVV attack strength 0.843
MVV defence strength 1.093
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 61