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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Excelsior Win
67%
1.49
20%
5.07
13%
7.72
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
12.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
11.8%
Home win
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.09
Excelsior xG
Total xG
2.88
0.79
Jong Utrecht xG
ExcelsiorDrawJong Utrecht
1.49
67%
Home win
5.07
20%
Draw
7.72
13%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.09
52%
BTTS No
1.92
Clean Sheet
45%
2.20
12%
8.05
Win to Nil
31%
3.27
2%
62.18
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 11.8 | 9.3 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.3 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 8.5 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.086
λ Away (xG)
0.789
Total xG
2.875
League avg home goals
1.642
League avg away goals
1.273
Excelsior attack strength
0.913
Excelsior defence strength
0.896
Jong Utrecht attack strength
0.692
Jong Utrecht defence strength
1.392
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
31 / 68