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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 2 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Excelsior Win

63%

Excelsior

1.59

22%

Draw

4.56

15%

Jong PSV U21

6.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

Excelsior xG

Total xG

2.97

0.91

Jong PSV U21 xG

63%
22%
15%
ExcelsiorDrawJong PSV U21

1.59

63%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

6.63

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

40%

Excelsior

2.49

13%

Jong PSV U21

7.79

Win to Nil

25%

Excelsior

3.96

2%

Jong PSV U21

51.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.1
1 10.6 9.7 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.9 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.4 6.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 3.8 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.053
λ Away (xG) 0.914
Total xG 2.967
League avg home goals 1.670
League avg away goals 1.241
Excelsior attack strength 0.989
Excelsior defence strength 0.770
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 0.957
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.243
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 74