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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Excelsior Win
54%
1.84
24%
4.15
22%
4.63
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
2 – 0
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.71
Excelsior xG
Total xG
2.70
0.99
Helmond Sport xG
ExcelsiorDrawHelmond Sport
1.84
54%
Home win
4.15
24%
Draw
4.63
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.94
48%
BTTS No
2.07
Clean Sheet
37%
2.69
18%
5.55
Win to Nil
20%
4.95
4%
25.71
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.5 | 11.4 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.9 | 9.7 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.714
λ Away (xG)
0.988
Total xG
2.702
League avg home goals
1.655
League avg away goals
1.246
Excelsior attack strength
0.886
Excelsior defence strength
0.862
Helmond Sport attack strength
0.920
Helmond Sport defence strength
1.169
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
25 / 62