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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 20 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

De Oude Meerdijk

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Emmen Win

41%

Emmen

2.42

25%

Draw

4.00

34%

VVV Venlo

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Emmen xG

Total xG

2.83

1.33

VVV Venlo xG

41%
25%
34%
EmmenDrawVVV Venlo

2.42

41%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

26%

Emmen

3.79

22%

VVV Venlo

4.49

Win to Nil

11%

Emmen

9.18

7%

VVV Venlo

13.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 7.8 5.2 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.8 11.8 7.8 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 8.8 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.3 4.4 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.502
λ Away (xG) 1.333
Total xG 2.835
League avg home goals 1.560
League avg away goals 1.448
Emmen attack strength 0.928
Emmen defence strength 0.998
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.922
VVV Venlo defence strength 1.038
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 70