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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

De Oude Meerdijk

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Emmen Win

62%

Emmen

1.60

20%

Draw

4.95

17%

Jong Utrecht

5.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.2%

Home win

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.17

Emmen xG

Total xG

3.24

1.07

Jong Utrecht xG

62%
20%
17%
EmmenDrawJong Utrecht

1.60

62%

Home win

4.95

20%

Draw

5.74

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

34%

Emmen

2.91

11%

Jong Utrecht

8.79

Win to Nil

21%

Emmen

4.66

2%

Jong Utrecht

50.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 8.5 9.1 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.9 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.7 7.1 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.6 3.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
5 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.174
λ Away (xG) 1.067
Total xG 3.241
League avg home goals 1.654
League avg away goals 1.299
Emmen attack strength 0.925
Emmen defence strength 1.111
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.739
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.420
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 67