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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 23 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

De Oude Meerdijk

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Emmen Win

61%

Emmen

1.65

20%

Draw

5.09

20%

Jong Ajax

5.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.4%

Draw

3 – 1

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.44

Emmen xG

Total xG

3.81

1.37

Jong Ajax xG

61%
20%
20%
EmmenDrawJong Ajax

1.65

61%

Home win

5.09

20%

Draw

5.04

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.46

32%

BTTS No

3.17

Clean Sheet

25%

Emmen

3.93

9%

Jong Ajax

11.45

Win to Nil

15%

Emmen

6.49

2%

Jong Ajax

57.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2 3.0 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 5.4 7.4 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
2 6.6 9.0 6.2 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 5.4 7.3 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 3.3 4.5 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.6 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.438
λ Away (xG) 1.368
Total xG 3.806
League avg home goals 1.688
League avg away goals 1.470
Emmen attack strength 1.242
Emmen defence strength 1.124
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.828
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.162
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 65