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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 8 Dec 2024

15:45

Venue

De Oude Meerdijk

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Emmen Win

36%

Emmen

2.80

29%

Draw

3.48

36%

Excelsior

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Emmen xG

Total xG

2.68

1.34

Excelsior xG

36%
29%
36%
EmmenDrawExcelsior

2.80

36%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

26%

Emmen

3.82

26%

Excelsior

3.83

Win to Nil

9%

Emmen

10.69

9%

Excelsior

10.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 9.2 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.2 12.3 8.2 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 6.2 8.3 5.5 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 2.8 3.7 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.342
λ Away (xG) 1.339
Total xG 2.681
League avg home goals 1.544
League avg away goals 1.395
Emmen attack strength 1.076
Emmen defence strength 0.967
Excelsior attack strength 0.993
Excelsior defence strength 0.808
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17