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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 6 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

M-Scores Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dordrecht Win

61%

Dordrecht

1.64

23%

Draw

4.44

16%

MVV

6.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

Dordrecht xG

Total xG

2.86

0.91

MVV xG

61%
23%
16%
DordrechtDrawMVV

1.64

61%

Home win

4.44

23%

Draw

6.11

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

40%

Dordrecht

2.48

14%

MVV

7.01

Win to Nil

25%

Dordrecht

4.06

2%

MVV

42.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.2 10.2 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.9 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.1 6.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 3.4 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.948
λ Away (xG) 0.909
Total xG 2.857
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.455
Dordrecht attack strength 0.882
Dordrecht defence strength 0.930
MVV attack strength 0.672
MVV defence strength 1.320
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67