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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 20 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

M-Scores Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dordrecht Win

61%

Dordrecht

1.64

22%

Draw

4.64

18%

Jong Ajax

5.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.18

Dordrecht xG

Total xG

3.29

1.11

Jong Ajax xG

61%
22%
18%
DordrechtDrawJong Ajax

1.64

61%

Home win

4.64

22%

Draw

5.67

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

33%

Dordrecht

3.04

11%

Jong Ajax

8.86

Win to Nil

20%

Dordrecht

5.00

2%

Jong Ajax

50.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.1 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
1 8.1 9.0 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 9.8 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.4 7.1 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.5 3.9 2.2 0.8 0.2
5 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.181
λ Away (xG) 1.113
Total xG 3.294
League avg home goals 1.718
League avg away goals 1.483
Dordrecht attack strength 0.988
Dordrecht defence strength 0.914
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.821
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.285
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 64