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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 28 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

De Vliert

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Den Bosch Win

56%

Den Bosch

1.78

19%

Draw

5.18

24%

Willem II

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.2%

Draw

3 – 1

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.39

Den Bosch xG

Total xG

3.94

1.55

Willem II xG

56%
19%
24%
Den BoschDrawWillem II

1.78

56%

Home win

5.18

19%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

75%

Over 2.5

1.33

25%

Under 2.5

4.00

55%

Over 3.5

1.82

45%

Under 3.5

2.22

36%

Over 4.5

2.78

64%

Under 4.5

1.56

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.40

28%

BTTS No

3.51

Clean Sheet

21%

Den Bosch

4.71

9%

Willem II

10.88

Win to Nil

12%

Den Bosch

8.37

2%

Willem II

44.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0 3.0 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.1
1 4.7 7.2 5.6 2.9 1.1 0.3
2 5.6 8.6 6.7 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 4.4 6.9 5.3 2.7 1.1 0.3
4 2.6 4.1 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.3 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.387
λ Away (xG) 1.549
Total xG 3.936
League avg home goals 1.726
League avg away goals 1.461
Den Bosch attack strength 1.292
Den Bosch defence strength 1.127
Willem II attack strength 0.941
Willem II defence strength 1.070
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17