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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

11:15

Venue

De Vliert

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Den Bosch Win

64%

Den Bosch

1.56

19%

Draw

5.24

17%

MVV

5.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.30

Den Bosch xG

Total xG

3.41

1.11

MVV xG

64%
19%
17%
Den BoschDrawMVV

1.56

64%

Home win

5.24

19%

Draw

5.90

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

33%

Den Bosch

3.03

10%

MVV

9.95

Win to Nil

21%

Den Bosch

4.74

2%

MVV

58.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.2
1 7.6 8.4 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 9.7 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.7 7.4 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.9 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 1.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.298
λ Away (xG) 1.108
Total xG 3.406
League avg home goals 1.741
League avg away goals 1.537
Den Bosch attack strength 1.104
Den Bosch defence strength 0.925
MVV attack strength 0.779
MVV defence strength 1.195
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59